Measuring, managing and interpreting the impact of drugs & drug related crime - NIJ Publications Update
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Through the National Criminal Justice Reference Service, NIJ has made available the following final technical reports: See below for additional details. These reports are the results of NIJ-funded projects but were not published by the U.S. Department of Justice. Title: How Much Crime Is Drug-Related? History, Limitations, and Potential Improvements of Estimation Methods (pdf, 44 pages) This first article in the series addresses how to measure the costs of drug-related crime, not so much in terms of numerical estimates but, rather, in calculating the human, societal and economic costs. The authors discuss the challenges of quantifying the amount of crime control and drug use reduction programs and their relationships to drug-attributable crime, including the use of drug attribution factors, their fundamental limitations in measuring crimes indirectly caused by drug use, and strategies for improving their effectiveness. The authors also suggest a framework for tracking crimes that are indirectly caused by drug use — although these crimes cannot currently be quantified —and they recommend a two-layer approach: a quantified estimate of the amount of crime that is directly and contemporaneously caused by drug-related activity plus a qualitative framework describing indirect effects not previously included in the quantification. Title: Reducing Drug Violence in Mexico: Options for Implementing Targeted Enforcement (pdf, 66 pages) The authors illustrate the failure of the Mexican President Calderon administration (2006–2012) to counter the escalation of violence while fighting “the war on drugs.” They examine violence reduction models that have been locally successful and explore the possibility of establishing the models’ external validity transnationally. Applying targeted enforcement prioritizes drug-related violence over drug flow reduction or organizational (drug cartel) decapitation efforts and would require unprecedented cooperation, for both intelligence and tactical purposes, between the United States and Mexico. The authors explore the promise of this approach and recommend further research and development in the administering and implementing of targeted enforcement models before Mexico considers operationalizing this approach. The adoption of targeted enforcement in the U.S. would allow Mexican authorities to independently engage in parallel violence reduction efforts along with pursuing other ongoing social reforms. Whether or not the U.S. were to adopt a model of targeted enforcement, a shift in U.S. focus toward violence reduction policies would send a clear message of support to the Mexican government and help to address the incredible violence that is devastating our southern neighbor. Title: Measuring the Costs of Crime (pdf, 26 pages) For example, the authors demonstrated that the riskiness of an environment is not the same as the frequency of acts of crime committed. Cost estimates of crime must therefore examine the quantities and qualities of crime reduction at hand, such as modest decreases in crime riskiness of the environment and the benefits of reduced precaution and perhaps reduced victimization. Considering the nonlinearity of crime may be just as important as understanding the overall costs of crime. This article focuses on implications of the nonlinearity between illicit drug use and resultant drug crime and how this might affect interventions attempting to reduce both. Title: Drug Control and Reductions in Drug-Attributable Crime (pdf, 23 pages) Presumably, cost-effective drug control interventions would be measured in terms of the amount of the drug use averted per $1 million taxpayer dollars invested, which in reality would be difficult to estimate. However, the focus of this article is on the links between drug use and drug-attributable crime and between drug control measures and drug crime, not the link between drug control measures and drug use reduction. The author notes that interventions to control the drug supply are more likely to produce unintended or perverse results (e.g., driving up the price of a drug from its relatively inelastic cost while increasing drug-related crime). However, the author is more optimistic about law enforcement’s potential contribution to reducing drug-related crime — focusing on controlling violence instead of attempting to control the flow of drugs — a crucial but underappreciated distinction. Title: Managing Drug-Involved Offenders (pdf, 60 pages) However, innovations based on the Swift and Certain (SAC) testing-and-discipline paradigm, as successfully implemented in Hawaii’s HOPE project, can break this pattern. A phenomenon called “behavioral triage” allows program resources to be allocated to the offenders whose poor behavior most requires them. Quick and efficient identification of egregious offenders — rather than waiting until violations pile up — is combined with swift and consistent punishments, with greater correctional effect. There is some evidence that these programs introduce predictable consequences into the lives of offenders and increase their capacity for self-control. The promise of these programs creates optimism that drug use and incarceration can be reduced, among even heavily drug-involved offenders. |
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