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Climate newsletter |
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Issue 120 | 26 August 2026 |
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2026 is going to be renowned for the development of the largest El Niño in living memory and what is probably the largest such event since the 19th century. In a new Met Office blog, Professor Adam Scaife, Head of Long Range Forecasting, said that this is an unprecedented event, and he has never seen an El Niño signal this intense in our forecasts.
For the UK, the influence of El Niño could start to increase the chances of wetter, stormier conditions for NW Europe in the coming autumn and early winter.
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The recently published State of the UK Climate 2025 report highlights the shift in extreme heat and rain from the 1980s. For UK agriculture these numbers have translated to a stark ground truth this year. In our latest episode of Climate Conversations, Clare Nasir delivers the top lines of Met Office climate data bringing context to two interviews; Devon Farmer, Ian Baggs' commentary on the year from too wet to too dry, and Alex Burkill's conversation with Professor Pete Falloon on food security and why the swing between extremes is a highly challenging adaption process.
You can watch all episodes on our playlist and subscribe to our YouTube channel or Spotify to keep up to date.
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Providing you with evidence-based information on climate science.
Weather forecasts and climate projections are very different things. In a nutshell, a weather forecast provides an assessment of the weather over the next few days for a given area. A climate projection aims to provide an indication of the weather and weather extremes associated with a particular future climate over decades to centuries into the future.
You can find out more about the differences as well as the accuracy of both weather forecasts and climate projections on our website.
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On Tuesday 1 September the Met Office will release its end of summer seasonal statistics. We have already heard how the UK is on course to record its warmest summer on record for mean temperature, with only average conditions needed for the remainder of August to surpass the record set only last year. Keep an eye on Met Office channels for updates.
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